统计与信息论坛

农村流通体系是农村生产和消费的纽带，其高质量发展是农业农村现代化的重要抓手。通过构建数字经济赋能农村流通体系发展的理论模型，运用动态QCA研究方法，基于2014—2023年省域面板数据从时间和空间维度考察数字经济各维度在提升农村流通体系发展过程中的多元组态路径。研究发现，农村流通体系高质量发展路径是多元化的，存在三条组态路径，即以数字化投资—规模驱动资源协调型组态（a1）、以数字化人才—基础设施驱动的技术创新型组态（a2）和以数字化产业—投资驱动的要素共享型组态（a3）。实现高质量农村流通体系发展水平需要多元数字化条件协同作用，单个条件变量无法直接促成高质量农村流通体系发展；数字化投资、数字化规模作为核心缺失条件会导致非高质量农村流通体系发展；高质量农村流通体系发展存在显著的时间效应，各省份实现高质量农村流通体系发展存在多元路径；数字经济发展为农村流通体系发展带来新的机遇，探索农村流通体系高质量发展路径需要因地制宜。从理论层面来看，农村流通高质量发展是经济高质量发展理论在物流和农村发展领域的拓展和升华；从实践层面而言，农村流通数字化发展路径的探索有助于现代流通体系进一步完善以及促进城乡融合发展。

The rural circulation system is the only bridge between rural production and consumption,and is also an important starting point for the priority development of agriculture and rural areas.By constructing a theoretical model for the development of rural circulation system empowered by digital economy,using the dynamic QCA research method,the multiple configuration paths of various dimensions of digital economy are examined in the process of improving the development of rural circulation system from time and space dimensions.The research finds are as follows.The high-quality development path of the rural circulation system is diversified,and there are three configuration paths,the configuration of digital investment-scale-driven resource coordination type(a1),digital talent-infrastructure-driven technological innovation type(a2)and digital industry-investment-driven factor sharing type(a3).To achieve the development level of high-quality rural circulation system requires the synergistic effect of multiple digital conditions,and single condition variable cannot directly contribute to the development of high-quality rural circulation system.Digital investment and digital scale as the core missing conditions will lead to the development of non-high-quality rural circulation system.The development of high-quality rural circulation system has a significant temporal effect,and there are multiple paths for each province to realize the development of high-quality rural circulation system.The development of digital economy has brought new opportunities for the development of rural circulation system,and it is necessary to adapt to local conditions to explore the high-quality development path of rural circulation system.From a theoretical perspective,the high-quality development of rural circulation is an expansion and elevation of the theory of high-quality economic development in the fields of logistics and rural development.From a practical perspective,the exploration of the digital development path of rural circulation helps to further improve the modern circulation system and promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas.